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In the lead-up to the 2024 Queensland state election , a number of polling companies will conduct regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls will collect data on parties' primary vote, and will contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote . They will also ask questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders.
Graphical summary [ edit ]
Voting intention [ edit ]
Legislative Assembly polling
Date
Firm
Sample
Primary vote
2pp vote
ALP
LNP
GRN
ON
KAP
OTH
ALP
LNP
February – May 2024
Resolve Strategic[1] [2]
947
26%
43%
13%
8%
1%
9%
44.5%
55.5%
9–17 April 2024
YouGov[3]
1,092
27%
44%
15%
10%
1%
3%
44%
56%
16 March 2024
The local government elections are held, LNP wins Ipswich West by-election and Labor holds its seat in Inala .
7–13 March 2024
Newspoll[4]
1,037
30%
42%
13%
8%
—
—
46%
54%
13 February 2024
uComms[5] [6]
1,743
34.2%
37.3%
12.2%
7.7%
3.9%
4.7%
50%
50%
26 December 2023
uComms[7]
1,911
34.4%
36.2%
—
—
—
—
49%
51%
15 December 2023
Steven Miles is officially elected Leader of Queensland Labor ; sworn in as Premier of Queensland.
13 December 2023
uComms[8]
1,143
34%
38.2%
11.9%
7.8%
3.3%
4.8%
48%
52%
10 December 2023
Annastacia Palaszczuk announces her intention to resign as Leader of Queensland Labor and Premier of Queensland.
September – December 2023
Resolve Strategic[9] [10]
940
33%
37%
12%
8%
—
10%
49.5%
50.5%
4–10 October 2023
YouGov[11]
1,013
33%
41%
13%
8%
2%
3%
48%
52%
26 August – 6 September 2023
RedBridge[12] [13] [14] [15]
2,012
26%
41%
14%
9%
—
10%
45%
55%
May – August 2023
Resolve Strategic[16]
943
32%
38%
11%
8%
1%
10%[a]
48%
52%
29 June – 2 July 2023
Freshwater Strategy[17]
1,065
34%
40%
11%
—
—
15%
49%
51%
17 January – 17 April 2023
Resolve Strategic[18]
943
35%
33%
12%
7%
1%
11%[b]
52.5%
47.5%
30 March – 5 April 2023
YouGov[19]
1,015
33%
39%
13%
10%
2%
—
49%
51%
1–8 December 2022
YouGov[20]
~1,000
34%
38%
13%
11%
—
4%
50%
50%
21 August – 4 December 2022
Resolve Strategic[21]
924
37%
35%
11%
6%
1%
10%[c]
53.2%
46.8%
23–30 June 2022
YouGov[22]
~1,000
34%
38%
14%
10%
1%
3%
50%
50%
18–23 February 2022
YouGov[23]
~1,000
39%
38%
10%
8%
1%
4%
52%
48%
31 October 2020 election
39.6%
35.9%
9.5%
7.1%
2.5%
5.7%
53.2%
46.8%
Some polls do not publish a two-party-preferred result. In these cases, the result has been manually calculated from preference flows at the 2020 election.
Preferred Premier and satisfaction [ edit ]
Preferred Premier [ edit ]
Date
Polling firm
Sample
Preferred Premier
Miles
Crisafulli
Don't know
February – May 2024
Resolve Strategic[1]
947
28%
39%
33%
9–17 Apr 2024
YouGov[24]
1,092
27%
40%
33%
7–13 March 2024
Newspoll[4]
1,037
37%
43%
20%
13 February 2024
uComms[5] [6]
1,743
49%
51%
—
26 December 2023
uComms[7]
1,911
47.8%
52.2%
—
Date
Polling firm
Sample
Preferred Premier
Palaszczuk
Crisafulli
Don't know
September – December 2023
Resolve Strategic[9] [10]
940
34%
39%
27%
10 Nov 2023
SEC Newgate[25]
600
30%
34%
36%
4–10 Oct 2023
YouGov[11]
1,013
35%
37%
28%
December 2023
Resolve Strategic[9] [10]
940
34%
39%
27%
May – August 2023
Resolve Strategic[16]
943
36%
37%
27%
29 June – 2 July 2023
AFR /Freshwater Strategy[17]
1,065
44%
45%
11%
17 Jan – 17 Apr 2023
Resolve Strategic[18]
943
39%
31%
31%
30 Mar – 5 Apr 2023
YouGov[19]
1,015
31%
29%
40%
1–8 Dec 2022
YouGov[20]
~1,000
39%
28%
33%
21 Aug – 4 Dec 2022
Resolve Strategic[21]
924
42%
30%
28%
23–30 Jun 2022
YouGov[22]
~1,000
41%
28%
31%
Satisfaction ratings [ edit ]
Date
Polling firm
Sample
Miles
Crisafulli
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Don't Know
Net
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Don't Know
Net
February – May 2024
Resolve Strategic[1]
947
—
—
—
–15%
—
—
—
+14%
9–17 Apr 2024
YouGov[24]
1,092
25%
47%
28%
–22%
40%
26%
34%
+14%
7–13 March 2024
Newspoll[4]
1,037
38%
49%
13%
-11%
47%
33%
20%
+14%
13 February 2024
uComms[5] [6]
1,743
44.2%
25.2%
25.2%
+19%
41.7%
18.7%
31.2%
+23%
13 December 2023
uComms[8]
1,143
38.4%
25.9%
35.6%
+12.5%
—
—
—
—
Date
Polling firm
Sample
Palaszczuk
Crisafulli
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Don't Know
Net
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Don't Know
Net
September – December 2023
Resolve Strategic[9] [10]
940
—
—
—
–17%
—
—
—
+9%
4–10 Oct 2023
YouGov[11]
1,013
32%
52%
16%
–20%
37%
26%
37%
+11%
September – December 2023
Resolve Strategic[9] [10]
940
—
—
—
–17%
—
—
—
+9%
May – August 2023
Resolve Strategic[16]
943
—
—
—
–15%
—
—
—
+7%
29 June – 2 July 2023
AFR /Freshwater Strategy[17]
1,065
39%
47%
14%
–8%
—
—
—
—
1–8 Dec 2022
YouGov[20]
~1,000
40%
41%
19%
–1%
31%
27%
42%
+4%
23–30 Jun 2022
YouGov[22]
~1,000
45%
30%
16%
+15%
31%
23%
46%
+8%
18–23 Feb 2022
YouGov[23]
~1,000
50%
36%
14%
+14%
—
—
—
—
References [ edit ]
^ a b c Dennien, Matt (21 May 2024). "Crisafulli's LNP climbs higher against Miles' Labor leadership" . Brisbane Times .
^ Bonham, Kevin. "#ResolvePM Qld (state) ALP 26 LNP 43 Grn 13 ON 8 IND 8 KAP 1 other 1 (IMO IND too high others too low but that matters little). My 2PP estimate 55.5-44.5 to LNP. Sample over last 3 months. #qldpol" . X .
^ Johnson, Hayden; Burns, Christopher (26 April 2024). "YouGov poll: Labor on track to lose 21 seats at Queensland state election" . Courier Mail .
^ a b c Lynch, Lydia (15 March 2024). "Newspoll: Queensland's Liberal National Party in box seat for majority government" . The Australian .
^ a b c Johnson, Hayden (23 February 2024). "Polling shock: Battlelines drawn as explosive new poll delivers boilover no one saw coming" . Courier Mail .
^ a b c "uComms: 50-50 in Queensland – The Poll Bludger" . www.pollbludger.net . Retrieved 2024-02-23 .
^ a b McCormack, Madura (26 December 2023). "UComms poll: Steven Miles's ascension makes little difference to Labor fortunes" . Courier Mail .
^ a b Smee, Ben (21 December 2023). "Poll bombshell: Result that changes everything in battle for Premier" . Guardian Australia .
^ a b c d e Dennien, Matt (5 December 2023). "Support for Labor steadies, despite dip in Palaszczuk's popularity" . Brisbane Times .
^ a b c d e "Resolve Strategic: LNP 37, Labor 33, Greens 12 in Queensland – The Poll Bludger" . www.pollbludger.net . Retrieved 2023-12-06 .
^ a b c Johnson, Hayden (26 October 2023). "Poll bombshell: Result that changes everything in battle for Premier" . Courier Mail .
^ Bennett, Stephanie (9 September 2023). "New Qld poll shows 'strong mood' to dump Labor" . Courier Mail .
^ Tapper, Michelle; Iorio, Kelsie (9 September 2023). "LNP gains more ground over Labor in polls, surges ahead in primary vote" . ABC News (Australia) .
^ "Weekend miscellany: Voice and Queensland polls, Liberal Senate preselections (open thread) – The Poll Bludger" . www.pollbludger.net . Retrieved 2023-09-09 .
^ "Queensland vote intention" (PDF) . RedBridge Group . Retrieved 2023-09-09 .
^ a b c Dennien, Matt (17 August 2023). "LNP ahead in the polls as voters consider Crisafulli over Palaszczuk" . Brisbane Times .
^ a b c Ludlow, Mark (5 July 2023). "Palaszczuk on track to lose in 2024: poll" . Australian Financial Review . Retrieved 5 July 2023 .
^ a b Dennien, Matt (19 April 2023). "Crashing the parties: Voters mark leaders down but Palaszczuk keeps her edge" . Brisbane Times .
^ a b McKay, Jack (21 April 2023). "Annastacia Palaszczuk's standing as preferred premier sinks to lowest level since she took up top job" . The Courier-Mail . Retrieved 22 April 2023 .
^ a b c "YouGov poll reveals LNP and Labor neck and neck" . The Courier Mail . 11 December 2022.
^ a b "Palaszczuk Labor still favoured by voters at political halfway mark" . Brisbane Times . 12 December 2022.
^ a b c "Palaszczuk shockwaves: Labor's lead obliterated, shock result if election held today" . The Courier Mail . 4 July 2022.
^ a b "LNP closing the gap on Labor's lead in the polls, Annastacia Palaszczuk viewed less favourably" . The Courier Mail . 25 February 2022.
^ a b McCormack, Madura (26 April 2024). "YouGov poll: Steven Miles more unpopular than Campbell Newman before 2014 election defeat" . Courier Mail .
^ Pierce, Jeremy; Mulvaney, Mikaela (10 November 2023). "Shock poll result for Queensland government" . Courier Mail .
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